Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.016679 0.018482 0.020298 0.022261 0.024318 0.026404 0.028677
2025-06-01 0.013262 0.016057 0.018994 0.022285 0.025849 0.029570 0.033730
2025-06-08 0.011027 0.014312 0.017874 0.021971 0.026506 0.031329 0.036808
2025-06-15 0.009516 0.013158 0.017220 0.021995 0.027374 0.033180 0.039855
2025-06-22 0.008078 0.011929 0.016347 0.021651 0.027726 0.034367 0.042086
2025-06-29 0.006767 0.010722 0.015394 0.021121 0.027785 0.035159 0.043814
2025-07-06 0.005429 0.009354 0.014151 0.020165 0.027282 0.035256 0.044707
2025-07-13 0.004875 0.008932 0.014008 0.020473 0.028207 0.036943 0.047362
2025-07-20 0.004206 0.008293 0.013552 0.020365 0.028613 0.038009 0.049290
2025-07-27 0.003597 0.007676 0.013080 0.020202 0.028925 0.038945 0.051048
2025-08-03 0.003325 0.007515 0.013177 0.020729 0.030049 0.040812 0.053864
2025-08-10 0.002827 0.006968 0.012735 0.020553 0.030307 0.041652 0.055484
2025-08-17 0.002238 0.006244 0.012056 0.020106 0.030286 0.042234 0.056897
2025-08-24 0.001819 0.005744 0.011665 0.020025 0.030720 0.043370 0.058980
2025-08-31 0.001409 0.005186 0.011146 0.019741 0.030876 0.044151 0.060627
2025-09-07 0.001132 0.004818 0.010873 0.019762 0.031396 0.045356 0.062762
2025-09-14 0.000825 0.004316 0.010362 0.019437 0.031459 0.045995 0.064215
2025-09-21 0.000546 0.003776 0.009747 0.018935 0.031274 0.046316 0.065277
2025-09-28 0.000280 0.003116 0.008875 0.018033 0.030540 0.045943 0.065491
2025-10-05 0.000206 0.002975 0.008850 0.018324 0.031353 0.047464 0.067967
2025-10-12 0.000116 0.002696 0.008563 0.018221 0.031639 0.048327 0.069647
2025-10-19 0.000050 0.002419 0.008252 0.018067 0.031845 0.049083 0.071192
2025-10-26 0.000033 0.002385 0.008382 0.018565 0.032919 0.050919 0.074040